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Find the areas where trend breaks are important

07/02/2008 in General, Paper Trades, Psychology

It takes a long time of trying to read a chart in a try to find the areas where trend breaks are important, but some basics every trader already know.

Looking at major pivot highs and lows and trendlines on longer term charts are the primary ones.
Stops tend to aggregate under/over pivots as the implication is that these leveks are defended by those who beleive in a continuation of trend.
Strategies of buying a break are common, equally common are seeing the break re-broken in the opposite direction once stops are eaten up so its not the be-all and end-all of strategies anyway.

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A safe way to enter a trade

06/26/2008 in General, Paper Trades

After identifying the trend up or down, a safe way to enter a trade is to wait for the first horizontal continuation pattern of five minutes or more and simply do a stop order above it, if going long, or below it, if going short. Then set your initial stop loss at one and a half to twice the width of the pattern on the side opposite your order.

Livermore in “Reminiscences…” once said something like that: “admitting that I was wrong with my long automatically meant that I had a reason to short”. Maybe not exactly that (don’t remember exactly and lazy to search for an exact quote in a book ) but you got the idea.

P.S. Don’t open your full position initially.

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Thought about Cad/Jpy for today

06/03/2008 in General, Paper Trades

Cad/Jpy does look like a short term sell around 104.50-70 areas.
It should find support arnd 103.40-50 areas …if this region is penetrated well we can see a move to 102.45-50 areas. Meantime these resistance (102.45-50) should eventually hold.

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Do you trade to make money or to maximize profit?

05/20/2008 in General, Paper Trades, Psychology

Do you trade to:

  1. make money or
  2. to make maximum profit?

Interesting.
After a lot of discussions about this topic my friends answered, its 2:1 in favor of making money vs. maximizing profit. I think the responses reveal a mental status not oriented to win by default.

So, who will explain all the fierce discussions regarding “superior” trading styles or techniques, as well as the self-deprecating topics about leaving money on the table, getting stopped out, etc?

Of course to answer that question you need to understand the subtle difference between making money and maximizing profit!

My guess, many traders are not being honest with themselves…

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Anything is possible in Forex

01/21/2008 in General, Paper Trades, Psychology

Forex is all about how to hit the next ball correctly rather than worrying about something of a distant future. The next ball may be for 2 pips or 20 pips or 200 pips or 500 pips depending on a trader?s style.

Anything is possible in Forex.

I am useless as a daytrader. Corrections may take days or longer to complete.

Good quality info is everything in this game.

Bottom picking in the Usd/Jpy is the Mother of all risky trades.

We learn how to trade till we stop trading and we learn from each other everyday. That is the beauty of trading and life in general.

Do not worry about what market will do. Just worry about what you will do when market reaches your “pain point” or “happy point”. You will have an easier life as a trader that way.

Forex players can operate quietly, but they cannot hide their moves in those charts.

Good morning. Yes, no liquidity and no conviction by players make the market look like a vagrant loitering in his usual area. Good forecasts and trades.

Good sleep is essential for good trading but most of the traders I know of seem to sleep with one eye open.

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Closing my winners too soon

01/09/2008 in General, Paper Trades, Psychology

I had a problem – closing my winners too soon. The problem here is that you are trading the “price” and not “order flow“. I actually had the same problem, and after some mentorship, i learned that i was trading the “price”and not the “order flow”. You are exiting positions simply because of a price/target is getting printed, and not because the order flow is changing.

Try to focus on the order flow (example: if its a bull market, try to find signals that tell you that the order flow is starting to go bid, then exit, dont just exit because its hitting a certain price number).

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May 2007 YEN biggest questions

05/16/2007 in JPY, Paper Trades, USD

Actual questions starting from ~ May 3rd, 2007

Q:
When this usd/jpy will stop pimping above 120?
When eur/jpy and gbp/jpy will drop?

A:
When the LAST BRAVE SHORT GIVES UP!